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Mystery box 5% Fade + surprise box with a theme of Knives, 5%
Top Dropped ItemsThe best recent drops pulled from this case
MW
ST
Marble Fade
Butterfly Knife10.22.2026

Marble Fade

Coin Icon2,581.60
x18.74
MW
ST
Marble Fade
Butterfly Knife10.14.2026

Marble Fade

Coin Icon2,581.60
x18.74
MW
ST
Fade
Butterfly Knife10.11.2026

Fade

Coin Icon5,482.20
x39.79
MW
Fade
Glock-1809.24.2026

Fade

Coin Icon2,650.81
x19.24
MW
Fade
Karambit09.20.2026

Fade

Coin Icon2,806.89
x20.37
MW
Fade
Karambit09.16.2026

Fade

Coin Icon2,806.89
x20.37
MW
Fade
Karambit09.14.2026

Fade

Coin Icon2,806.89
x20.37
MW
Fade
M9 Bayonet09.14.2026

Fade

Coin Icon1,665.97
x12.09
MW
Fade
M9 Bayonet09.14.2026

Fade

Coin Icon1,665.97
x12.09
MW
Fade
M9 Bayonet09.12.2026

Fade

Coin Icon1,665.97
x12.09

Items Content

Ticket range for each item in this case
MWST0.01%
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)

Butterfly Knife

Fade

Coin Icon4,777.01
WWSV0.02%
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Well-Worn)

R8 Revolver

Amber Fade

Coin Icon3,967.14
MW0.02%
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)

Butterfly Knife

Fade

Coin Icon3,345.34
MW0.05%
Glock-18 | Fade (Minimal Wear)

Glock-18

Fade

Coin Icon2,987.96
MW0.1%
★ Karambit | Fade (Minimal Wear)

Karambit

Fade

Coin Icon2,817.04
MWST0.1%
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)

Karambit

Marble Fade

Coin Icon2,670.16
FN0.1%
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New)

Specialist Gloves

Marble Fade

Coin Icon2,357.94
MWST0.2%
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)

Butterfly Knife

Marble Fade

Coin Icon2,316.37
MWST0.2%
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)

Talon Knife

Fade

Coin Icon1,757.60
MW0.2%
★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Minimal Wear)

M9 Bayonet

Fade

Coin Icon1,720.30
MW0.25%
AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear)

AWP

Fade

Coin Icon1,276.33
FNST0.25%
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)

Talon Knife

Marble Fade

Coin Icon952.44
MWST0.5%
★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)

Stiletto Knife

Fade

Coin Icon933.59
MW0.5%
★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)

Skeleton Knife

Fade

Coin Icon841.79
MW0.5%
★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)

Bayonet

Marble Fade

Coin Icon731.16
MWST0.5%
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)

Falchion Knife

Marble Fade

Coin Icon659.37
MW0.5%
UMP-45 | Fade (Minimal Wear)

UMP-45

Fade

Coin Icon639.76
MWST0.5%
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)

Huntsman Knife

Marble Fade

Coin Icon596.09
MW0.5%
★ Huntsman Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)

Huntsman Knife

Fade

Coin Icon511.27
FN95%
MAC-10 | Fade (Factory New)

MAC-10

Fade

Coin Icon74.74

The 5% Fade case centers on Fade and Marble Fade finishes, with 20 possible items: 14 knives, one pair of gloves and several weapons. Its knife-heavy item list does not mean knives land often. Each item has its own listed chance, and one weapon accounts for most openings.

Fade knives and other standout drops

The top of the value list mixes Butterfly Knives with other Fade finishes. These drops are worth more than the case costs, but their individual chances are small:

  • StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) is the most valuable item in the case, with a 0.01% chance.
  • Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) has a 0.02% chance.
  • Souvenir R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Well-Worn) also has a 0.02% chance, despite not being a knife.
  • Karambit | Fade (Minimal Wear) has a 0.1% chance.
  • Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Factory New) are the pool's only gloves, with a 0.1% chance.

Other knives include Marble Fade variants and Fade finishes across several models. The full item list above gives the individual chance for every drop, not just the standout names.

What the 5% chance means

The chance of winning more than the case costs is 5% across all qualifying items combined. That is not the chance of landing any particular knife. The MAC-10 | Fade (Factory New) has a 95% chance and is worth less than the case costs. It is the result to plan around when judging the risk of an opening.

Even among above-cost drops, the chances vary: the most valuable Butterfly Knife has a much smaller chance than several other knives. A run of openings does not change the listed chance on the next spin, so the case should not be read as a path to a particular drop.

Opening 5% Fade on CSDROP

Opening this case uses your CSDROP balance; you can select one to five cases at once, change the spin speed, or try a Demo Spin that costs nothing and awards nothing. A won item is credited to your balance at market value immediately, which you can use to buy skins on the CSDROP marketplace for withdrawal to Steam, withdraw in crypto, or continue playing. Each opening is verifiable from game history using the hashed server seed shown before the spin, your client seed and a nonce; the case can also go into a case battle, where players open the same cases and their drops decide the winner.

5% Fade at a glance

Worked out from the item list and its odds
Price per opening
Coin Icon137.79
Items
20
Worth Coin Icon74.74 to Coin Icon4,777.01
Chance to win more than the price
5%
Most valuable item
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)
Coin Icon4,777.01, 0.01% chance

Got Questions?

Find answers to the most common questions about CSDROP

One opening of 5% Fade costs Coin Icon137.79.

5% Fade contains 20 items, worth from Coin Icon74.74 to Coin Icon4,777.01. The item list above shows the chance of each one.

5% per opening: that is the combined chance of every item worth more than the Coin Icon137.79 the case costs. The other openings land an item worth less than the price.

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear), worth Coin Icon4,777.01, with a 0.01% chance per opening.

Make sure your balance covers the 5% Fade case price, then click to spin. The case opens instantly and the skin you win is added to your balance at its market value, ready to use anywhere on CSDROP.

Yes. This page lists every skin inside the 5% Fade case along with the exact drop rate for each rarity tier, so you know precisely what you can win and the probability of winning it before you spend anything.

Yes. The drop chances for the 5% Fade case are fixed and shown on this page, and every opening is completely independent — previous results never affect your next one. Because each spin is provably fair, the outcome is decided cryptographically every time.

Items won from the 5% Fade case are credited to your balance at market value instantly. You can spend that balance on the marketplace and withdraw the skins you buy to Steam, withdraw it in crypto, or keep playing.

Yes. Each 5% Fade opening is generated with HMAC-SHA256 from a hashed server seed shown before the spin, your client seed, and a nonce, so the result is locked in advance. You can rotate your server seed to reveal the original and verify any opening from your game history.

CSDROP offers free cases through the welcome bonus, daily rewards, and promotions. Free cases use exactly the same odds and provably fair system as paid ones, and any skins you win are credited to your balance the same way.

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