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Mystery box 10% Ursus + surprise box with a theme of Knives, 10%
Top Dropped ItemsThe best recent drops pulled from this case
MW
Fade
Ursus Knife10.25.2026

Fade

Coin Icon457.37
x13.50
FN
Urban Masked
Ursus Knife10.25.2026

Urban Masked

Coin Icon518.23
x15.29
FN
Urban Masked
Ursus Knife10.25.2026

Urban Masked

Coin Icon518.23
x15.29
FN
Case Hardened
Ursus Knife10.25.2026

Case Hardened

Coin Icon353.89
x10.44
MW
Fade
Ursus Knife10.25.2026

Fade

Coin Icon457.37
x13.50
FN
Forest DDPAT
Ursus Knife10.25.2026

Forest DDPAT

Coin Icon359.09
x10.60
FN
Forest DDPAT
Ursus Knife10.25.2026

Forest DDPAT

Coin Icon359.09
x10.60
MW
Fade
Ursus Knife10.25.2026

Fade

Coin Icon457.37
x13.50
FN
Forest DDPAT
Ursus Knife10.25.2026

Forest DDPAT

Coin Icon359.09
x10.60
FN
Ultraviolet
Ursus Knife10.25.2026

Ultraviolet

Coin Icon541.43
x15.98

Items Content

Ticket range for each item in this case
MW0.01%
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler Black Pearl (Minimal Wear)

Ursus Knife

Doppler Black Pearl

Coin Icon1,545.96
MW0.02%
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler Ruby (Minimal Wear)

Ursus Knife

Doppler Ruby

Coin Icon1,507.14
FN0.02%
★ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)

Ursus Knife

Crimson Web

Coin Icon1,443.20
MW0.05%
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler Sapphire (Minimal Wear)

Ursus Knife

Doppler Sapphire

Coin Icon1,285.64
FN0.1%
★ Ursus Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New)

Ursus Knife

Night Stripe

Coin Icon773.50
FN0.2%
★ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)

Ursus Knife

Ultraviolet

Coin Icon682.99
MW0.3%
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)

Ursus Knife

Doppler

Coin Icon531.90
FN0.4%
★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)

Ursus Knife

Urban Masked

Coin Icon482.60
MW0.5%
★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)

Ursus Knife

Fade

Coin Icon455.97
FN0.5%
★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)

Ursus Knife

Forest DDPAT

Coin Icon379.26
FN0.5%
★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)

Ursus Knife

Case Hardened

Coin Icon366.81
MW0.5%
★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)

Ursus Knife

Marble Fade

Coin Icon313.06
FN0.5%
★ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)

Ursus Knife

Blue Steel

Coin Icon298.43
FN0.9%
★ Ursus Knife | Scorched (Factory New)

Ursus Knife

Scorched

Coin Icon280.94
FN1%
★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)

Ursus Knife

Slaughter

Coin Icon268.50
MW1%
★ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)

Ursus Knife

Tiger Tooth

Coin Icon264.00
FN1%
★ Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)

Ursus Knife

Boreal Forest

Coin Icon211.46
FN1%
★ Ursus Knife | Stained (Factory New)

Ursus Knife

Stained

Coin Icon205.64
FN1.5%
★ Ursus Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)

Ursus Knife

Damascus Steel

Coin Icon153.60
90%
Sticker | Knife's Edge

Sticker

Knife's Edge

Coin Icon0.06

The 10% Ursus case is built around one knife model, but its outcome is usually not a knife. Its pool contains 20 possible drops: 19 Ursus knives with different finishes and wear conditions, plus one sticker. The knives all have values above the case cost; the sticker does not.

Ursus finishes to watch

The knife side of the pool ranges from familiar finishes to much less likely Doppler variants. These entries show how sharply individual chances can differ:

  • Ursus Knife | Doppler Black Pearl (Minimal Wear) is the most valuable item in this case, with a 0.01% chance.
  • Ursus Knife | Doppler Ruby (Minimal Wear) and Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) each have a 0.02% chance.
  • Ursus Knife | Doppler Sapphire (Minimal Wear) sits among the highest-value drops, with a 0.05% chance.
  • Ursus Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) is also worth more than the case costs and has a 1.5% chance.

The full item list on this page shows the remaining finishes, their individual chances and their current values. The standout knives are only a small part of the likely outcome.

What the odds mean here

The chance of winning more than the case costs is 10%. Those winning outcomes are spread across the knives, rather than concentrated in a single drop. Sticker | Knife's Edge accounts for a 90% chance and is worth less than the case costs. That makes it the result to plan around, even though every knife in the pool clears the case cost. A run of openings does not change the chance assigned to the next spin.

Opening the case on CSDROP

You can preview this case with Demo Spin, which awards nothing, or open one to five cases at once from your balance; faster spin speeds are also available. A real result is credited to your balance at market value immediately, and that balance can be used for more games, skins from the CSDROP marketplace to withdraw to Steam, or a crypto withdrawal. For each opening, a hashed server seed shown before the spin, your client seed and a nonce determine the result, which you can check in your game history.

10% Ursus at a glance

Worked out from the item list and its odds
Price per opening
Coin Icon33.89
Items
20
Worth Coin Icon0.06 to Coin Icon1,545.96
Chance to win more than the price
10%
Most valuable item
★ Ursus Knife | Doppler Black Pearl (Minimal Wear)
Coin Icon1,545.96, 0.01% chance

Got Questions?

Find answers to the most common questions about CSDROP

One opening of 10% Ursus costs Coin Icon33.89.

10% Ursus contains 20 items, worth from Coin Icon0.06 to Coin Icon1,545.96. The item list above shows the chance of each one.

10% per opening: that is the combined chance of every item worth more than the Coin Icon33.89 the case costs. The other openings land an item worth less than the price.

★ Ursus Knife | Doppler Black Pearl (Minimal Wear), worth Coin Icon1,545.96, with a 0.01% chance per opening.

Make sure your balance covers the 10% Ursus case price, then click to spin. The case opens instantly and the skin you win is added to your balance at its market value, ready to use anywhere on CSDROP.

Yes. This page lists every skin inside the 10% Ursus case along with the exact drop rate for each rarity tier, so you know precisely what you can win and the probability of winning it before you spend anything.

Yes. The drop chances for the 10% Ursus case are fixed and shown on this page, and every opening is completely independent — previous results never affect your next one. Because each spin is provably fair, the outcome is decided cryptographically every time.

Items won from the 10% Ursus case are credited to your balance at market value instantly. You can spend that balance on the marketplace and withdraw the skins you buy to Steam, withdraw it in crypto, or keep playing.

Yes. Each 10% Ursus opening is generated with HMAC-SHA256 from a hashed server seed shown before the spin, your client seed, and a nonce, so the result is locked in advance. You can rotate your server seed to reveal the original and verify any opening from your game history.

CSDROP offers free cases through the welcome bonus, daily rewards, and promotions. Free cases use exactly the same odds and provably fair system as paid ones, and any skins you win are credited to your balance the same way.

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